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September: Elusive credit; fraud barometer rises, and more

Melanie Stern, Financial Director, 26 Aug 2008

While many companies expect the business climate to deteriorate over the next 12 months, research finds that investing in employees is the best way to avert a recession

Costly credit
Over three-quarters of CFOs have found credit harder to obtain this year, according to Deloitte’s quarterly survey of CFOs. This is up from just under half of respondents who found it hard to get credit in September 2007. Based on the Q2 survey of FTSE CFOs, 89% felt credit was substantially more costly compared to 59% in the same period last year. Almost 70% of respondents disagreed with the US Treasury’s position that the worst of the credit crunch was likely to be over.
www.deloitte.com

Fraud on the up
KPMG’s Fraud Barometer has shown that fraudulent activity jumped 50% in the first half of 2008 in contrast to last year. Fraudulent activity cost the UK financial sector £60m this year so far, compared with a loss of £37m for the whole of 2007. Accounting fraud cost £22m in 2007 with this year totalling £96m already – pushed up by cases such as a financial controller who transferred £750,000 to her personal account from company accounts and an NHS Trust finance manager who fiddled the books to show a surplus of £1m instead of a £10m deficit.
www.kpmg.co.uk

Brain drain
Investing in your employees is the best way to avert recession, according to research by business performance consultancy McKinney Rogers. McKinney, which polled executives and business leaders across Europe, Africa, Asia-Pacific and the US, found 78% felt development of their workforce reduced their exposure to recession.
www.mckinneyrogers.com

Bad news
Over half of the 5,000 companies across England and Northern Ireland surveyed by Ipsos Mori expect the business climate to deteriorate over the next 12 months. Transport and energy are considered costs most likely to become real burdens on companies, with eight out of ten agreeing rises in these areas will have a detrimental effect on cost base in the future. A further 45% of companies said they were approaching the vagaries of the crunch by increasing prices to customers.
www.ipsos-mori.com

Busts boom
Corporate insolvencies could soar to more than 60,000 over the next 18 months, according to forecasts by the Credit Management Research Centre at Leeds University Business School. The CMRC predicts insolvencies will increase sharply over the next six months, peaking in December 2009. The Insolvency Service’s Q2 results saw an increase of 11.6% on the previous quarter and 15% on the same period a year ago.
www.insolvency.gov.uk

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