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UK pensions assumptions leave EU behind

Tony Harrington, Financial Director, 30 Aug 2007

Greater disclosure of mortality assumptions means FTSE-100 companies are stealing a march over their European counterparts when it comes to reporting on the health of pension funds

One of the more interesting findings to come out of the 2007 Accounting for Pensions survey by actuaries Lane Clark and Peacock (LCP) is that while FTSE-100 companies in the UK have made great strides in disclosing the assumptions behind their pension deficit calculations, their European peers, by and large, haven’t.

The report also shows that fund deficits have achieved “record improvements” under the influence of a benign economic climate, to the point where there is now a “fragile surplus”. FTSE-100 companies had a net surplus of £12bn as at mid-July 2007, as compared to a total deficit of £36bn in 2006. Favourable investment returns are cited by LCP as the main factor behind the record improvement.

As Alex Waite, LCP partner and one of the authors of the report says that the difference between the average European FTSE equivalent company and UK FTSE companies on pension disclosure is now stark. “They [the European players] disclose deficits, but without disclosing the underlying assumptions, it is impossible to know what the figures mean.”

Good examples

Waite points out, however, that not all European FTSE-100 equivalents are hopeless when it comes to disclosing information. There are a few outstanding exceptions. He cites Philips as the pre-eminent “good egg” when it comes to disclosure and praises the level of detail in Philips published accounts.

A handful of other European companies do almost as well. Waite lists Unilever, Siemens and Sony Ericsson as examples. But that said, the rest lag behind. “Philips is exceptional in that it goes even further than the levels of disclosure required by IFRS 19. In particular, it has highlighted such things as the sensitivity of the fund deficit to market movements such as the fall in equities in global markets that we experienced in mid-August. We would like to see this kind of reporting becoming the norm across Europe,” he says.

Until this happens, UK FTSE companies will be streets ahead of their European competitors. The question is, will this greater disclosure buy them anything or is it simply compliance for compliance’s sake?

Stephen Acheson, head of global client services and business management at Standard Life Investments believes that, from an analyst’s perspective, greater disclosure is vital and buys the company concerned a great deal more respect (and regard) from the analyst community.

“One of the biggest and most crucial topics when evaluating a FTSE-100 company has been the health of the pension fund. You want as much information as possible as to what is behind the figures,” he says.

For Acheson, this means disclosing the mortality assumptions, the asset mix of the fund and the entire basis for the deficit calculation, including the expected returns figures on the equity component of the fund.

“The main question you are asking is whether what you are looking at is optimistic, or realistic. I would rather see a substantial deficit that I judge to have been calculated on a very realistic basis, than a small deficit that looks to me to be optimistic,” he says.

Caution needed

Acheson points out, however, that analysts still need to exercise caution, in that even where assumptions are revealed in company accounts, those assumptions can still differ markedly from company to company. “You can’t just assume that you are comparing like with like when you look at a table of the deficits in FTSE-100 company schemes,” he says. Each deficit has to be understood in its own context and then the analysts have to form their own view on how it compares with another company’s deficit.

However, Acheson celebrates the fact that over the past few years, companies and pension fund trustees have become a great deal more professional about disclosures and, in parallel, the discussions about fund deficits and strategies have become much more sophisticated.

“As a consultant, it is obvious that the quality of the debate about how to run the fund going forward, and how to analyse risk, has come on in leaps and bounds,” he says.

For his part, LCP’s Waite points out that UK FTSE-100 companies did not get to their present position of acceptable levels of disclosure without some kicking.
“In mid-February this year a group of analysts got together and wrote an open letter to the Financial Times demanding greater disclosure of the underlying assumptions, including mortality assumptions. That seems to have rung a bell with UK companies and we saw an increase in reporting of mortality assumptions,” he says.

In the first year LCP produced its survey, only three companies disclosed mortality assumptions. Last year more than 30 companies reported mortality assumptions and this year, by the time the report appeared in August, the vast majority disclosed mortality figures.

Waite adds the cautionary note that even with FTSE-100 companies, the disclosure of a deficit from one company to another could be under or overstated by a factor of at least two. “Just by tweaking things like mortality assumptions and discount rates on expected returns, you can massively alter the deficit figure,” he warns.

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