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UK economy in shock contraction

GDP shrank by 0.5 percent between October and December, the ONS said

25 Jan 2011

By Sharecast

crushed-piggy

(SHARECAST) - Britain's economy shrank in the fourth quarter of 2010, surprising analysts who had only been expecting a slight slowdown from the solid growth seen the previous three months.

Gross domestic product contracted by 0.5 percent between October and December, according to figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The latest figures are a shock given that analysts had been expecting growth of about 0.2 percent to 0.6 percent.

Weakness in the construction and services sectors were responsible for the surprise fall. Activity in the construction sector, which was hit hard by the extreme winter weather in December, contracted by 3.3 percent. Services, Britain's biggest sector, saw a 0.5 percent contraction.

Output in the production industries, which includes manufacturing, increased by 0.9 percent, the ONS said.

The latest data is a major blow for the UK economy and a big headache for the government.

The housing market remains weak and unemployment is still a problem, but inflation is also an increasingly important issue. While rising prices have been adding to pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates, today's GDP data will be seized on by those in favour of keeping rates at 0.5 percent.

 

Visitor comments

finance weakening

If government continues to treat the banks as a political football productivity will suffer as a result of lack of finance. What would I do to the banks - nothing - let them get on with the job. It might be a good idea if bank shareholders underwrote their bad debts not the public through the public purse and therefore taxation!!

Posted by john wenban, 25 Jan 2011

This is no surprise

The latest GDP figure of -0.5% does not come as a great surprise given the feedback I have been receiving from clients during the three months in question.

There does seem to be a lack of demand for new debt and historically increasing debt levels have been a major factor in GDP growing as we have moved out of recession.

Until business owners have the confidence to pursue a growth strategy and take on debt to facilitate this, the GDP growth figures are likely to remain depressed.

Simon Glyn, partner, FRP Advisory

Posted by FRP Advisory, 28 Jan 2011

 

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