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China turmoil fuels pensions volatility

Pension deficit volatility has returned with a vengeance with the past 12 months showing huge swings compared to the previous three years when measured under FRS17, according to Aon Consulting.

The turmoil in the markets, originating in China during late February,
resulted in the highest single day increase in deficits under FRS17 of £11bn.
This prompted a resurgence in volatility levels, according to Aon, and weekly
deficit changes of £10bn have been common.

In the past year, UK pension deficits have tumbled by 45% to £26bn, and
British companies with 31 March accounting year ends will benefit from the
improvement, according to
Aon.

“£10bn swings in the national deficit have occurred from one week to the
next,” said Marcus Hurd, senior consultant and actuary at Aon. “Companies
reporting a few weeks earlier would have reported losses over the year at a time
when the national deficit was almost double its current value at £50bn. This
shows the shortcomings of using a short-term basis to measure long-term
obligations under FRS17.”

While the overall pensions deficit has dropped over £40bn over the previous
two years, this masks the underlying volatility.

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